YEARLY HIGH
86.6493 CDF
YEARLY LOW
39.4411 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
61.8730 CDF

2018 ARS to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 86.6493. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 39.4411.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 47.2081 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 84.2888 to the December average rate of 43.0076, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 86.6493 was down 7.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 93.7377, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 433,246 CDF
2017 Average 439,828 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 197,206 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 236,040.75 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

88.4719
38.2745
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 75.8021, compared to 47.9438 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 27.8582 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 75.8021
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 47.9438

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 17.2843 CDF (High: 59.6688 / Low: 42.3845). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0225 CDF (High: 80.5838 / Low: 79.5613).

August Spread (Volatile) ±17.2843
March Spread (Stable) ±1.0225

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 12.3706 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -12.3706

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 84.2888) against the same month in 2017 (average: 76.4132), the exchange rate shifted by +7.8757 (+10.31%).

2018 Avg (January) 84.2888
2017 Avg (January) 76.4132

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 86.6493 81.1891 84.2888
February 82.9823 80.0620 81.2346
March 80.5838 79.5613 79.9938
April 80.2406 78.5723 79.7774
May 77.9642 64.5690 68.7730
June 64.8276 55.9402 60.7449
July 60.5733 55.7741 58.6860
August 59.6688 42.3845 54.8282
September 44.5736 39.4411 42.4576
October 45.4909 41.3857 43.9978
November 46.2105 41.1954 44.6858
December 44.5465 42.4694 43.0076