2018 ARS to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

86.6493 CDF

YEARLY LOW

39.4411 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

61.8730 CDF

2018 ARS to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 86.6493. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 39.4411.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 47.2081 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 84.2888 to the December average rate of 43.0076, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 86.6493 was down 7.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 93.7377, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 433,246 CDF

2017 Average 439,828 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 197,206 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 236,040.75 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

প্রবণতার চিত্রায়ন

2018 সাল জুড়ে মাসিক গড় ওঠানামা।

88.4719

38.2745

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 75.8021, compared to 47.9438 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 27.8582 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 75.8021

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 47.9438

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 17.2843 CDF (High: 59.6688 / Low: 42.3845). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0225 CDF (High: 80.5838 / Low: 79.5613).

August Spread (Volatile) ±17.2843

March Spread (Stable) ±1.0225

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 12.3706 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -12.3706

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 84.2888) against the same month in 2017 (average: 76.4132), the exchange rate shifted by +7.8757 (+10.31%).

2018 Avg (January) 84.2888

2017 Avg (January) 76.4132

মাসিক বিশ্লেষণ

প্রতিটি ক্যালেন্ডার মাসের পরিসংখ্যানগত সারসংক্ষেপ।

Month	High	Low	Average
January	86.6493	81.1891	84.2888
February	82.9823	80.0620	81.2346
March	80.5838	79.5613	79.9938
April	80.2406	78.5723	79.7774
May	77.9642	64.5690	68.7730
June	64.8276	55.9402	60.7449
July	60.5733	55.7741	58.6860
August	59.6688	42.3845	54.8282
September	44.5736	39.4411	42.4576
October	45.4909	41.3857	43.9978
November	46.2105	41.1954	44.6858
December	44.5465	42.4694	43.0076

2018 ARS থেকে CDF-এর ঐতিহাসিক পর্যালোচনা