YEARLY HIGH
28.2513 CDF
YEARLY LOW
18.2028 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
26.3351 CDF

2020 ARS to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 28.2513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 6, dropping to 18.2028.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.0485 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.1462 to the December average rate of 23.6748, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 28.2513 was down 36.22% compared to the 2019 peak of 44.2931, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 141,256 CDF
2019 Average 176,449 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 91,014 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 50,242.40 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

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28.5934
23.2276
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.0593, compared to 25.6109 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4484 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.0593
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 25.6109

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was December, with a trading range of 5.9720 CDF (High: 24.1748 / Low: 18.2028). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2888 CDF (High: 28.2513 / Low: 27.9624).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą5.9720
January Spread (Stable) Âą0.2888

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.9681 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9681

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 28.1462) against the same month in 2019 (average: 43.7555), the exchange rate shifted by -15.6093 (-35.67%).

2020 Avg (January) 28.1462
2019 Avg (January) 43.7555

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Month High Low Average
January 28.2513 27.9624 28.1462
February 27.9918 27.3008 27.5921
March 27.4672 26.4451 27.0139
April 26.5557 25.8739 26.2175
May 26.8070 25.9293 26.4483
June 27.4188 26.4759 26.9379
July 27.6280 26.9500 27.2742
August 27.3347 26.4220 26.8177
September 26.4171 25.7378 26.1224
October 25.7292 23.4100 25.1543
November 25.0388 24.2041 24.6224
December 24.1748 18.2028 23.6748