YEARLY HIGH
108.6749 CDF
YEARLY LOW
69.7322 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
100.6964 CDF

2015 ARS to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 108.6749. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 69.7322.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 38.9427 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 107.7254 to the December average rate of 83.5190, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 108.6749 was down 23.18% compared to the 2014 peak of 141.4669, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 543,374 CDF
2014 Average 571,084 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 348,661 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 194,713.45 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

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110.1460
81.0984
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 104.9930, compared to 96.3997 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.5933 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 104.9930
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 96.3997

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 26.0275 CDF (High: 95.7597 / Low: 69.7322). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3103 CDF (High: 99.5749 / Low: 98.2646).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą26.0275
September Spread (Stable) Âą1.3103

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 13.0120 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -13.0120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 107.7254) against the same month in 2014 (average: 133.0413), the exchange rate shifted by -25.3159 (-19.03%).

2015 Avg (January) 107.7254
2014 Avg (January) 133.0413

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Month High Low Average
January 108.6749 106.8333 107.7254
February 107.6345 105.3987 106.6831
March 106.3095 104.4743 105.4669
April 105.8814 103.7123 104.6359
May 103.8964 102.5671 103.2638
June 102.5845 101.2629 102.1832
July 102.0434 100.2806 101.3007
August 100.6319 99.2629 100.1311
September 99.5749 98.2646 99.0181
October 98.6650 97.1807 97.8986
November 98.0985 95.6562 96.5310
December 95.7597 69.7322 83.5190