YEARLY HIGH
38.7470 UGX
YEARLY LOW
33.9727 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.0993 UGX

2021 RSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 38.7470. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 33.9727.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.7743 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.1393 to the December average rate of 34.1791, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 38.7470 was up 1.50% compared to the 2020 peak of 38.1761, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 193,735 UGX
2020 Average 180,391 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 169,864 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,871.37 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

38.5354
33.7831
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.1199, compared to 35.0788 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0411 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.1199
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.0788

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 1.1191 UGX (High: 35.9899 / Low: 34.8708). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4743 UGX (High: 34.4470 / Low: 33.9727).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.1191
December Spread (Stable) ±0.4743

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.8435 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8435

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 38.1393) against the same month in 2020 (average: 34.7414), the exchange rate shifted by +3.3980 (+9.78%).

2021 Avg (January) 38.1393
2020 Avg (January) 34.7414

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 38.7470 37.7386 38.1393
February 37.9534 37.3349 37.7060
March 37.5660 36.5170 37.0628
April 37.0428 36.5631 36.8388
May 37.0478 36.3028 36.6892
June 36.8661 35.8227 36.2833
July 36.0956 35.4463 35.7306
August 35.9643 35.1174 35.4198
September 35.6024 35.0342 35.3613
October 35.9899 34.8708 35.3127
November 35.0604 34.0255 34.4692
December 34.4470 33.9727 34.1791