2021 RSD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

38.7470 UGX

YEARLY LOW

33.9727 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

36.0993 UGX

2021 RSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 38.7470. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 33.9727.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.7743 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.1393 to the December average rate of 34.1791, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 38.7470 was up 1.50% compared to the 2020 peak of 38.1761, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 193,735 UGX

2020 Average 180,391 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 169,864 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,871.37 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

38.5354

33.7831

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.1199, compared to 35.0788 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0411 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.1199

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.0788

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 1.1191 UGX (High: 35.9899 / Low: 34.8708). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4743 UGX (High: 34.4470 / Low: 33.9727).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.1191

December Spread (Stable) ±0.4743

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.8435 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8435

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 38.1393) against the same month in 2020 (average: 34.7414), the exchange rate shifted by +3.3980 (+9.78%).

2021 Avg (January) 38.1393

2020 Avg (January) 34.7414

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	38.7470	37.7386	38.1393
February	37.9534	37.3349	37.7060
March	37.5660	36.5170	37.0628
April	37.0428	36.5631	36.8388
May	37.0478	36.3028	36.6892
June	36.8661	35.8227	36.2833
July	36.0956	35.4463	35.7306
August	35.9643	35.1174	35.4198
September	35.6024	35.0342	35.3613
October	35.9899	34.8708	35.3127
November	35.0604	34.0255	34.4692
December	34.4470	33.9727	34.1791