YEARLY HIGH
36.3957 UGX
YEARLY LOW
34.1434 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
35.2015 UGX

2019 RSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 36.3957. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 34.1434.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2522 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.7373 to the December average rate of 34.7394, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 36.3957 was down 5.98% compared to the 2018 peak of 38.7098, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 181,978 UGX
2018 Average 186,042 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 170,717 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,261.25 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

35.9013
34.3004
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.5983, compared to 34.8047 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7936 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.5983
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.8047

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 1.1972 UGX (High: 36.3957 / Low: 35.1985). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4487 UGX (High: 34.9916 / Low: 34.5430).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.1972
December Spread (Stable) ±0.4487

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.5576 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5576

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 35.7373) against the same month in 2018 (average: 37.4413), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7040 (-4.55%).

2019 Avg (January) 35.7373
2018 Avg (January) 37.4413

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 36.3957 35.1985 35.7373
February 35.6752 34.9894 35.2709
March 35.9235 35.0986 35.4799
April 35.9398 35.2877 35.6008
May 35.9513 35.4649 35.7331
June 36.1465 35.4504 35.7679
July 35.6775 34.8013 35.2102
August 35.2731 34.4544 34.8753
September 34.6100 34.1434 34.4338
October 35.2687 34.1591 34.8017
November 35.2864 34.5812 34.7676
December 34.9916 34.5430 34.7394