YEARLY HIGH
37.4494 UGX
YEARLY LOW
34.3820 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.4961 UGX

2026 RSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the RSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 37.4494. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 34.3820.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0674 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.6788 to the December average rate of 36.7677, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 37.4494 was up 3.13% compared to the 2025 peak of 36.3144, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 187,247 UGX
2025 Average 173,618 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 171,910 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,336.92 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

37.5789
35.5061
JanuMarcMayJuly

RSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 36.5290, compared to 36.3974 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1316 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 36.5290
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.3974

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 2.1264 UGX (High: 36.5084 / Low: 34.3820). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 36.7677 / Low: 36.7677).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.1264
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.9722 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9722

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 36.4339) against the same month in 2025 (average: 35.4991), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9348 (+2.63%).

2026 Avg (June) 36.4339
2025 Avg (June) 35.4991

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 36.5084 34.3820 35.6788
February 36.4058 35.5147 35.9005
March 37.2632 36.1932 36.7259
April 37.4084 36.6622 37.0288
May 37.4484 37.3356 37.4061
June 37.4494 35.5354 36.4339
July 36.5803 35.5701 36.0270
August 36.7677 36.7677 36.7677