2020 RSD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

38.1761 UGX

YEARLY LOW

33.6313 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

36.0701 UGX

2020 RSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the RSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 38.1761. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 33.6313.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.5448 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.7414 to the December average rate of 37.9401, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 38.1761 was up 4.89% compared to the 2019 peak of 36.3957, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 190,881 UGX

2019 Average 176,008 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 168,157 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,723.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

38.3201

33.7596

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.0323, compared to 37.1080 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0757 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.0323

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.1080

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 2.0004 UGX (High: 36.5948 / Low: 34.5944). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4085 UGX (High: 38.1761 / Low: 37.7676).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.0004

December Spread (Stable) ±0.4085

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6017 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6017

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 37.9401) against the same month in 2019 (average: 34.7394), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2007 (+9.21%).

2020 Avg (December) 37.9401

2019 Avg (December) 34.7394

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	35.3424	34.4877	34.7414
February	34.7260	33.6313	34.1396
March	36.5948	34.5944	35.4212
April	35.3969	34.5771	34.9537
May	35.6792	34.8177	35.1691
June	36.3054	35.4074	35.7688
July	37.2001	35.4368	36.0818
August	37.2772	36.6412	36.9791
September	37.3774	36.6199	37.0561
October	37.7099	36.8534	37.2069
November	37.7690	36.9841	37.3840
December	38.1761	37.7676	37.9401