2016 RSD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

31.8765 UGX

YEARLY LOW

29.4195 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

30.7290 UGX

2016 RSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 9, valuing the pair at 31.8765. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 29.4195.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4570 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.5359 to the December average rate of 30.7719, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 31.8765 was down 9.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 35.0415, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 159,382 UGX

2015 Average 148,933 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 147,097 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,285.13 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

31.3105

30.2550

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 30.7001, compared to 30.7580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0579 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 30.7001

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 30.7580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 2.0834 UGX (High: 31.8765 / Low: 29.7931). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3203 UGX (High: 30.9067 / Low: 30.5864).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.0834

September Spread (Stable) ±0.3203

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6027 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 31.0005) against the same month in 2015 (average: 26.8620), the exchange rate shifted by +4.1385 (+15.41%).

2016 Avg (February) 31.0005

2015 Avg (February) 26.8620

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	30.8803	29.9713	30.5359
February	31.8765	29.7931	31.0005
March	31.1952	29.4195	30.3978
April	31.2871	30.2302	30.8608
May	31.1471	30.3314	30.7488
June	31.0404	30.2820	30.6566
July	30.7635	30.0427	30.3429
August	30.9410	30.3601	30.6798
September	30.9067	30.5864	30.7694
October	30.9513	30.4646	30.7613
November	31.6394	30.9767	31.2226
December	31.5881	29.9587	30.7719