2018 RSD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

38.7098 UGX

YEARLY LOW

35.2501 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

37.2170 UGX

2018 RSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 38.7098. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 35.2501.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4597 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.4413 to the December average rate of 35.7270, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 38.7098 was up 4.92% compared to the 2017 peak of 36.8962, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 193,549 UGX

2017 Average 168,644 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 176,250 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,298.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

38.6546

35.4608

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.8649, compared to 36.5690 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2959 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.8649

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.5690

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 2.0642 UGX (High: 38.6188 / Low: 36.5547). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7175 UGX (High: 38.4590 / Low: 37.7415).

July Spread (Volatile) ±2.0642

March Spread (Stable) ±0.7175

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.0990 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0990

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 38.3885) against the same month in 2017 (average: 31.4684), the exchange rate shifted by +6.9201 (+21.99%).

2018 Avg (April) 38.3885

2017 Avg (April) 31.4684

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	38.0614	36.6580	37.4413
February	38.4619	37.5541	37.9805
March	38.4590	37.7415	38.1382
April	38.7098	37.9770	38.3885
May	38.0532	36.8066	37.2894
June	38.5436	37.2312	37.9518
July	38.6188	36.5547	37.2132
August	37.3215	35.8722	36.4535
September	38.1175	36.9091	37.4532
October	37.4058	36.0311	36.6523
November	36.3196	35.5831	35.9148
December	35.9841	35.2501	35.7270