YEARLY HIGH
43.8066 RSD
YEARLY LOW
36.2217 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
40.4108 RSD

2014 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 43.8066. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 36.2217.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.5848 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.1966 to the December average rate of 43.0201, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 43.8066 was down 9.25% compared to the 2013 peak of 48.2703, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,190,328 RSD
2013 Average 2,240,620 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 1,811,087 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 379,240.36 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

43.5991
37.2904
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.0276, compared to 41.7939 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.7663 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.0276
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 41.7939

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 2.7205 RSD (High: 38.9423 / Low: 36.2217). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9533 RSD (High: 39.8779 / Low: 38.9246).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.7205
April Spread (Stable) ±0.9533

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.5955 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5955

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 43.0201) against the same month in 2013 (average: 40.5211), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4990 (+6.17%).

2014 Avg (December) 43.0201
2013 Avg (December) 40.5211

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 38.9423 36.2217 38.1966
February 38.8540 37.6279 38.4116
March 38.9945 37.3831 37.8161
April 39.8779 38.9246 39.3626
May 40.7736 39.5556 40.2709
June 40.9700 39.6106 40.1079
July 41.4562 39.7949 40.5188
August 41.5307 40.4275 40.8368
September 42.5412 40.7044 41.5874
October 42.9049 41.1087 41.7269
November 43.7345 42.5138 43.0734
December 43.8066 41.6073 43.0201