реирежреирел рднрд╛рд░рддреАрдп рд░реБрдкрдпрд╛ рддреЗ рдмреНрд░рд┐рдЯрд┐рд╢ рдкрд╛рдЙрдВрдб рдРрддрд┐рд╣рд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рдЖрдврд╛рд╡рд╛
реирежреирел рдпрд╛ рд╕рдВрдкреВрд░реНрдг рд╡рд░реНрд╖рд╛рддреАрд▓ рд╡рд┐рдирд┐рдордп рджрд░рд╛рдЪреНрдпрд╛ рдХрд╛рдордЧрд┐рд░реАрдЪреЗ рд╕рд░реНрд╡рд╕рдорд╛рд╡реЗрд╢рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг.
2014 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014
During 2014, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 43.8066. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 36.2217.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.5848 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.1966 to the December average rate of 43.0201, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 43.8066 was down 9.25% compared to the 2013 peak of 48.2703, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.
TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 39.0276, compared to 41.7939 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 2.7663 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 2.7205 RSD (High: 38.9423 / Low: 36.2217). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9533 RSD (High: 39.8779 / Low: 38.9246).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween June and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.5955 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 43.0201) against the same month in 2013 (average: 40.5211), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4990 (+6.17%).
рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг
рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 38.9423 | 36.2217 | 38.1966 |
| February | 38.8540 | 37.6279 | 38.4116 |
| March | 38.9945 | 37.3831 | 37.8161 |
| April | 39.8779 | 38.9246 | 39.3626 |
| May | 40.7736 | 39.5556 | 40.2709 |
| June | 40.9700 | 39.6106 | 40.1079 |
| July | 41.4562 | 39.7949 | 40.5188 |
| August | 41.5307 | 40.4275 | 40.8368 |
| September | 42.5412 | 40.7044 | 41.5874 |
| October | 42.9049 | 41.1087 | 41.7269 |
| November | 43.7345 | 42.5138 | 43.0734 |
| December | 43.8066 | 41.6073 | 43.0201 |