YEARLY HIGH
211.4017 CDF
YEARLY LOW
199.4714 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
206.6189 CDF

2018 HKD to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HKD to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 211.4017. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 199.4714.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.9303 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 204.7782 to the December average rate of 207.8344, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 211.4017 was down 0.01% compared to the 2017 peak of 211.4225, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,285,043 CDF
2017 Average 4,677,314 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 4,986,785 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 298,258.53 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

209.0539
204.3895
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HKD to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 205.7013, compared to 207.5365 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.8352 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 205.7013
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 207.5365

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 11.9303 CDF (High: 211.4017 / Low: 199.4714). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3631 CDF (High: 205.9766 / Low: 205.6136).

July Spread (Volatile) ±11.9303
June Spread (Stable) ±0.3631

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.9535 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9535

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 206.4653) against the same month in 2017 (average: 199.1103), the exchange rate shifted by +7.3550 (+3.69%).

2018 Avg (July) 206.4653
2017 Avg (July) 199.1103

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 206.3667 200.0019 204.7782
February 207.8984 204.5630 205.9283
March 207.4217 204.8741 206.2385
April 206.0423 204.8616 205.7587
May 206.0011 205.5123 205.7347
June 205.9766 205.6136 205.7697
July 211.4017 199.4714 206.4653
August 209.2929 205.7106 207.2186
September 210.4897 207.0697 208.6652
October 209.8498 205.3451 207.7117
November 210.1133 205.5551 207.3240
December 209.6454 205.7810 207.8344