YEARLY HIGH
0.8896 CNY
YEARLY LOW
0.7986 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8440 CNY

2018 HKD to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HKD to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 0.8896. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 11, dropping to 0.7986.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0910 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8219 to the December average rate of 0.8812, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8896 was down 0.87% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.8974, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,241 CNY
2017 Average 21,681 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 19,965 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,275.50 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.8945
0.7943
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HKD to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8125, compared to 0.8755 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0630 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8125
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8755

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0308 CNY (High: 0.8349 / Low: 0.8041). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0087 CNY (High: 0.8895 / Low: 0.8807).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0308
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0135 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0135

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.8812) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8438), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0374 (+4.43%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.8812
2017 Avg (December) 0.8438

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8349 0.8041 0.8219
February 0.8128 0.8018 0.8084
March 0.8124 0.7995 0.8064
April 0.8076 0.7986 0.8026
May 0.8184 0.8057 0.8117
June 0.8445 0.8140 0.8241
July 0.8684 0.8430 0.8558
August 0.8836 0.8665 0.8721
September 0.8816 0.8692 0.8747
October 0.8894 0.8763 0.8829
November 0.8895 0.8807 0.8862
December 0.8896 0.8760 0.8812