YEARLY HIGH
20.4827 JPY
YEARLY LOW
19.5321 JPY
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.2138 JPY

2026 HKD to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the HKD to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 27, valuing the pair at 20.4827. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 19.5321.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9507 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.1031 to the December average rate of 20.4339, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 20.4827 was up 0.67% compared to the 2025 peak of 20.3459, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 512,069 JPY
2025 Average 479,914 JPY
Yearly Trough Low 488,302 JPY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,766.56 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

20.4932
19.7821
JanuFebrMarcApriMayJune

HKD to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.2138, compared to 0.0000 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 20.2138 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.2138
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0000

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.8584 JPY (High: 20.4071 / Low: 19.5487). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1239 JPY (High: 20.4728 / Low: 20.3488).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.8584
June Spread (Stable) ±0.1239

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2617 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2617

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 20.2874) against the same month in 2025 (average: 19.1870), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1004 (+5.73%).

2026 Avg (March) 20.2874
2025 Avg (March) 19.1870

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 20.4071 19.5487 20.1031
February 20.1288 19.5321 19.8413
March 20.4827 20.0225 20.2874
April 20.4495 20.2378 20.3307
May 20.3598 20.0263 20.2866
June 20.4728 20.3488 20.4339