2016 HKD to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.6565 MDL

YEARLY LOW

2.5159 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5618 MDL

2016 HKD to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HKD to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 2.6565. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 4, dropping to 2.5159.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1406 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6126 to the December average rate of 2.5934, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.6565 was up 1.85% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.6083, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 66,412 MDL

2015 Average 60,506 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 62,897 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,515.22 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.6207

2.5242

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HKD to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5613, compared to 2.5623 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0011 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5613

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5623

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1116 MDL (High: 2.6565 / Low: 2.5449). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0126 MDL (High: 2.5509 / Low: 2.5383).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1116

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0126

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0337 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0337

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.6126) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.1486), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4640 (+21.60%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.6126

2015 Avg (January) 2.1486

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.6565	2.5449	2.6126
February	2.6110	2.5550	2.5790
March	2.5777	2.5191	2.5468
April	2.5439	2.5159	2.5322
May	2.5777	2.5320	2.5503
June	2.5613	2.5300	2.5467
July	2.5604	2.5331	2.5487
August	2.5509	2.5383	2.5421
September	2.5510	2.5372	2.5445
October	2.5860	2.5345	2.5599
November	2.6105	2.5514	2.5854
December	2.6098	2.5620	2.5934