2026 HKD to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0378 MOP

YEARLY LOW

1.0224 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0298 MOP

2026 HKD to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the HKD to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 1.0378. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 1.0224.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0154 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0298 to the December average rate of 1.0299, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.0378 was down 0.78% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.0460, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,946 MOP

2025 Average 25,745 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 25,561 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 385.18 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.0302

1.0294

JanuMarcMayJuly

HKD to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0298, compared to 1.0299 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0298

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0299

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0110 MOP (High: 1.0378 / Low: 1.0269). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 MOP (High: 1.0305 / Low: 1.0297).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0110

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0004 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2026: 1.0295) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.0303), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0008 (-0.08%).

2026 Avg (February) 1.0295

2025 Avg (February) 1.0303

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0316	1.0224	1.0298
February	1.0378	1.0269	1.0295
March	1.0336	1.0249	1.0295
April	1.0343	1.0277	1.0298
May	1.0305	1.0297	1.0300
June	1.0318	1.0288	1.0301
July	1.0320	1.0260	1.0299