2016 HNL to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8374 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.3452 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4389 EGP

2016 HNL to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.8374. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 0.3452.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4922 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3491 to the December average rate of 0.7891, the exchange rate registered a net change of 126.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8374 was up 129.20% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3654, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,187 EGP

2015 Average 1,776 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 1,726 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,461.03 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8333

0.3028

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3742, compared to 0.5035 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1293 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3742

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5035

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.3935 EGP (High: 0.7802 / Low: 0.3867). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 EGP (High: 0.3938 / Low: 0.3918).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3935

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0021 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.7891) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3578), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4313 (+120.56%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.7891

2015 Avg (December) 0.3578

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3517	0.3472	0.3491
February	0.3490	0.3461	0.3470
March	0.3961	0.3452	0.3719
April	0.3940	0.3920	0.3933
May	0.3938	0.3918	0.3930
June	0.3925	0.3875	0.3910
July	0.3921	0.3876	0.3898
August	0.3901	0.3869	0.3883
September	0.3899	0.3875	0.3884
October	0.3908	0.3866	0.3883
November	0.7802	0.3867	0.6770
December	0.8374	0.7656	0.7891