2016 HNL to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

624.0936 IDR

YEARLY LOW

565.8832 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

584.5677 IDR

2016 HNL to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 624.0936. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 565.8832.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 58.2104 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 618.3276 to the December average rate of 575.0407, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 624.0936 was down 7.16% compared to the 2015 peak of 672.2542, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,120,468 IDR

2015 Average 3,085,478 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 2,829,416 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 291,051.87 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

623.1869

564.8753

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 594.3485, compared to 574.7869 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 19.5616 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 594.3485

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 574.7869

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 23.9623 IDR (High: 603.2695 / Low: 579.3072). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.7780 IDR (High: 585.3710 / Low: 580.5930).

June Spread (Volatile) ±23.9623

April Spread (Stable) ±4.7780

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 19.4181 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -19.4181

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 618.3276) against the same month in 2015 (average: 596.8612), the exchange rate shifted by +21.4664 (+3.60%).

2016 Avg (January) 618.3276

2015 Avg (January) 596.8612

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	624.0936	610.5849	618.3276
February	611.6378	591.4718	598.9095
March	590.0200	576.4849	582.4146
April	585.3710	580.5930	583.5436
May	602.7075	581.1030	594.4312
June	603.2695	579.3072	588.4646
July	578.9774	571.8594	575.8376
August	580.1387	572.8401	575.6339
September	580.6248	566.3997	574.3542
October	574.7923	565.8832	569.7346
November	585.4559	568.9297	578.1202
December	585.6565	567.4776	575.0407