YEARLY HIGH
5.6796 JMD
YEARLY LOW
5.3539 JMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4946 JMD

2016 HNL to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 31, valuing the pair at 5.6796. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 19, dropping to 5.3539.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3257 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3701 to the December average rate of 5.5262, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.6796 was up 2.88% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.5204, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,398 JMD
2015 Average 26,916 JMD
Yearly Trough Low 26,769 JMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,628.60 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.6356
5.3459
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4193, compared to 5.5698 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1505 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4193
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5698

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1235 JMD (High: 5.6763 / Low: 5.5528). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0313 JMD (High: 5.5692 / Low: 5.5379).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1235
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0313

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0806 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0806

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 5.6115) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.4280), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1835 (+3.38%).

2016 Avg (October) 5.6115
2015 Avg (October) 5.4280

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3895 5.3539 5.3701
February 5.3872 5.3550 5.3702
March 5.3874 5.3561 5.3753
April 5.4511 5.3826 5.4040
May 5.5214 5.4332 5.4754
June 5.5520 5.5024 5.5209
July 5.5692 5.5379 5.5530
August 5.5650 5.5297 5.5460
September 5.6033 5.5486 5.5755
October 5.6796 5.5623 5.6115
November 5.6763 5.5528 5.6068
December 5.5628 5.4844 5.5262