YEARLY HIGH
107.3386 MNT
YEARLY LOW
90.0633 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
101.6632 MNT

2018 HNL to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 107.3386. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 14, dropping to 90.0633.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.2753 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 102.5221 to the December average rate of 101.5885, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 107.3386 was down 1.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 109.1696, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 536,693 MNT
2017 Average 518,712 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 450,317 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 86,376.45 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

103.5997
99.6050
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 101.2312, compared to 102.0953 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8642 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 101.2312
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 102.0953

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 12.0084 MNT (High: 102.0718 / Low: 90.0633). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3987 MNT (High: 101.3866 / Low: 100.9879).

June Spread (Volatile) ±12.0084
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3987

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.0878 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0878

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 101.5885) against the same month in 2017 (average: 102.8576), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2691 (-1.23%).

2018 Avg (December) 101.5885
2017 Avg (December) 102.8576

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 103.1764 102.0100 102.5221
February 102.3466 101.1575 101.7107
March 101.3866 100.9879 101.2517
April 101.2243 100.6426 100.9812
May 101.3521 100.6047 100.9834
June 102.0718 90.0633 99.9379
July 102.4277 101.4345 101.7900
August 102.2556 101.5452 101.7134
September 101.7438 101.2925 101.5370
October 103.7607 101.3866 103.2668
November 103.7638 102.0526 102.6763
December 107.3386 100.3989 101.5885