YEARLY HIGH
1.2070 UAH
YEARLY LOW
1.0377 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1227 UAH

2016 HNL to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 1.2070. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 1.0377.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1692 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0840 to the December average rate of 1.1267, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2070 was down 12.14% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.3738, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,035 UAH
2015 Average 5,028 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 5,189 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 846.06 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1817
1.0751
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1276, compared to 1.1178 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0098 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1276
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1178

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1010 UAH (High: 1.1388 / Low: 1.0377). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0089 UAH (High: 1.0950 / Low: 1.0861).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1010
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0284 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0284

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 1.1729) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1557), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0171 (+1.48%).

2016 Avg (February) 1.1729
2015 Avg (February) 1.1557

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1388 1.0377 1.0840
February 1.2070 1.1380 1.1729
March 1.2004 1.1211 1.1609
April 1.1566 1.1155 1.1325
May 1.1302 1.1094 1.1167
June 1.1089 1.0925 1.0984
July 1.0950 1.0861 1.0898
August 1.1407 1.0844 1.0998
September 1.1707 1.1292 1.1488
October 1.1319 1.1185 1.1251
November 1.1375 1.1008 1.1166
December 1.1680 1.1054 1.1267