YEARLY HIGH
1.2271 UAH
YEARLY LOW
1.0828 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1375 UAH

2018 HNL to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 1.2271. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 14, dropping to 1.0828.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1442 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2054 to the December average rate of 1.1438, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.2271 was up 1.17% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.2128, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,135 UAH
2017 Average 5,666 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 5,414 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 721.13 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.2165
1.0837
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1284, compared to 1.1466 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0182 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1284
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1466

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.1053 UAH (High: 1.2264 / Low: 1.1211). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0169 UAH (High: 1.1759 / Low: 1.1590).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1053
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0169

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0550 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0550

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.2054) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.1670), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0384 (+3.29%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.2054
2017 Avg (January) 1.1670

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2271 1.1758 1.2054
February 1.1792 1.1332 1.1504
March 1.1408 1.0982 1.1132
April 1.1204 1.0935 1.1053
May 1.1126 1.0923 1.1014
June 1.1045 1.0828 1.0948
July 1.1188 1.0897 1.1000
August 1.1768 1.1222 1.1463
September 1.1833 1.1656 1.1723
October 1.1759 1.1590 1.1666
November 1.1624 1.1322 1.1504
December 1.2264 1.1211 1.1438