YEARLY HIGH
4.5996 XPF
YEARLY LOW
4.0372 XPF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2275 XPF

2018 HNL to XPF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to XPF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 4.5996. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 4.0372.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5624 XPF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1399 to the December average rate of 4.3240, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.5996 was down 7.15% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.9539, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,998 XPF
2017 Average 22,580 XPF
Yearly Trough Low 20,186 XPF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,812.12 XPF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.3483
4.0714
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to XPF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1578, compared to 4.2972 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1394 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1578
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2972

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.3428 XPF (High: 4.5996 / Low: 4.2568). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0574 XPF (High: 4.2808 / Low: 4.2234).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.3428
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0574

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0485 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0485

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 4.3240) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.2634), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0606 (+1.42%).

2018 Avg (December) 4.3240
2017 Avg (December) 4.2634

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2312 4.0607 4.1399
February 4.1449 4.0372 4.0954
March 4.1196 4.0539 4.0945
April 4.1740 4.0681 4.1071
May 4.3295 4.1992 4.2462
June 4.2993 4.2085 4.2639
July 4.2808 4.2234 4.2552
August 4.3797 4.2453 4.3070
September 4.2960 4.2075 4.2585
October 4.3742 4.2766 4.3135
November 4.4064 4.2886 4.3252
December 4.5996 4.2568 4.3240