YEARLY HIGH
4.5846 DJF
YEARLY LOW
3.8136 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0137 DJF

2014 HTG to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the HTG to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 25, valuing the pair at 4.5846. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 3.8136.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7710 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1484 to the December average rate of 3.8341, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.5846 was down 0.29% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.5977, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,923 DJF
2013 Average 20,876 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 19,068 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,854.95 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.4774
3.7756
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0877, compared to 3.9396 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1481 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0877
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9396

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 0.5380 DJF (High: 4.5846 / Low: 4.0466). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0369 DJF (High: 3.8504 / Low: 3.8136).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.5380
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0369

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3938 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3938

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 4.4190) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.1706), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2483 (+5.95%).

2014 Avg (February) 4.4190
2013 Avg (February) 4.1706

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2913 4.0679 4.1484
February 4.5846 4.0466 4.4190
March 4.1294 3.9045 4.0251
April 4.0302 3.9704 3.9990
May 4.0049 3.9442 3.9734
June 3.9908 3.9413 3.9616
July 4.0015 3.9591 3.9827
August 4.0114 3.9318 3.9811
September 4.0191 3.9443 3.9856
October 4.0220 3.9445 3.9803
November 3.9752 3.8320 3.8740
December 3.8504 3.8136 3.8341