2012 IDR to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1449 STD

YEARLY LOW

1.9254 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0418 STD

2012 IDR to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the IDR to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 2, valuing the pair at 2.1449. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 1.9254.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2196 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0953 to the December average rate of 1.9442, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.1449 was up 2.36% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.0956, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 10,000,000 IDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,449,315 STD

2011 Average 20,100,381 STD

Yearly Trough Low 19,253,721 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,195,594.25 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.1386

1.9265

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

IDR to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0493, compared to 2.0344 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0148 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0493

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0344

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.1230 STD (High: 2.1230 / Low: 2.0000). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0382 STD (High: 2.1449 / Low: 2.1067).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1230

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0382

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0668 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0668

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 2.1210) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.0111), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1098 (+5.46%).

2012 Avg (August) 2.1210

2011 Avg (August) 2.0111

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1230	2.0000	2.0953
February	2.0918	2.0054	2.0583
March	2.0674	2.0030	2.0304
April	2.0597	2.0030	2.0341
May	2.0820	1.9950	2.0355
June	2.0761	1.9914	2.0419
July	2.1304	2.0666	2.0995
August	2.1449	2.1067	2.1210
September	2.1200	2.0046	2.0542
October	2.0477	1.9702	2.0013
November	2.0055	1.9554	1.9863
December	1.9690	1.9254	1.9442