2016 IDR to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7568 STD

YEARLY LOW

1.5615 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6647 STD

2016 IDR to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the IDR to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 1.7568. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 1.5615.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1953 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6251 to the December average rate of 1.7355, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.7568 was down 1.83% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7895, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 10,000,000 IDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,568,067 STD

2015 Average 16,506,855 STD

Yearly Trough Low 15,615,103 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,952,964.47 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7479

1.5996

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

IDR to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6363, compared to 1.6931 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0568 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6363

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6931

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1241 STD (High: 1.6856 / Low: 1.5615). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0231 STD (High: 1.6982 / Low: 1.6752).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1241

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0231

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0363 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0363

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.7355) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6246), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1109 (+6.82%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.7355

2015 Avg (December) 1.6246

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6419	1.6086	1.6251
February	1.6771	1.6173	1.6379
March	1.7092	1.6318	1.6741
April	1.6477	1.6175	1.6379
May	1.6241	1.6009	1.6120
June	1.6856	1.5615	1.6307
July	1.6982	1.6752	1.6871
August	1.6851	1.6367	1.6617
September	1.6864	1.6522	1.6658
October	1.7308	1.6662	1.7041
November	1.7231	1.6836	1.7044
December	1.7568	1.7026	1.7355