YEARLY HIGH
5.3093 MDL
YEARLY LOW
5.0452 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1805 MDL

2016 ILS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ILS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 5.3093. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 26, dropping to 5.0452.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2641 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1486 to the December average rate of 5.2509, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.3093 was up 1.96% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.2074, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,546 MDL
2015 Average 24,155 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 25,226 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,320.38 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.2646
5.1007
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1546, compared to 5.2064 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0519 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1546
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2064

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1813 MDL (High: 5.2360 / Low: 5.0546). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0601 MDL (High: 5.2637 / Low: 5.2036).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1813
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0601

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0705 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0705

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 5.2509) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.0923), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1586 (+3.12%).

2016 Avg (December) 5.2509
2015 Avg (December) 5.0923

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2360 5.0546 5.1486
February 5.2047 5.1078 5.1408
March 5.1929 5.0706 5.1144
April 5.2781 5.1410 5.2074
May 5.2821 5.1235 5.1934
June 5.1677 5.0452 5.1229
July 5.1717 5.0938 5.1286
August 5.2428 5.1411 5.1941
September 5.2637 5.2036 5.2429
October 5.2584 5.1684 5.2015
November 5.2803 5.1789 5.2205
December 5.3093 5.1570 5.2509