YEARLY HIGH
5.0162 MDL
YEARLY LOW
4.4463 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6775 MDL

2018 ILS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ILS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 5.0162. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 4.4463.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5699 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9543 to the December average rate of 4.5752, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.0162 was down 8.32% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.4712, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,081 MDL
2017 Average 25,627 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 22,231 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,849.46 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.9959
4.4973
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7469, compared to 4.6081 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1388 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7469
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6081

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.1999 MDL (High: 4.7714 / Low: 4.5714). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0686 MDL (High: 4.6514 / Low: 4.5828).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1999
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0686

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1873 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1873

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 4.9543) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.2573), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3030 (-5.76%).

2018 Avg (January) 4.9543
2017 Avg (January) 5.2573

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0162 4.8729 4.9543
February 4.8851 4.6927 4.7670
March 4.8500 4.6905 4.7806
April 4.7055 4.5888 4.6491
May 4.7714 4.5714 4.6493
June 4.7645 4.6004 4.6812
July 4.6408 4.5329 4.5873
August 4.6458 4.4463 4.5388
September 4.7216 4.6078 4.6788
October 4.6792 4.5913 4.6502
November 4.6514 4.5828 4.6185
December 4.6174 4.4905 4.5752