2011 JMD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2363 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9297 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0329 KES

2011 JMD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the JMD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.2363. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.9297.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3066 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9321 to the December average rate of 1.0024, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.2363 was up 31.10% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.9430, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 JMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,181 KES

2010 Average 4,518 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,648 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,533.13 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.2011

0.9077

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

JMD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9777, compared to 1.0881 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1103 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9777

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0881

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.1053 KES (High: 1.2002 / Low: 1.0948). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0069 KES (High: 0.9366 / Low: 0.9297).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1053

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0933 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0933

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.1766) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.9290), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2476 (+26.66%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.1766

2010 Avg (October) 0.9290

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9366	0.9297	0.9321
February	0.9466	0.9305	0.9382
March	0.9874	0.9504	0.9688
April	0.9906	0.9582	0.9807
May	1.0222	0.9773	1.0025
June	1.0761	1.0083	1.0441
July	1.0670	1.0350	1.0539
August	1.1141	1.0659	1.0868
September	1.2002	1.0948	1.1254
October	1.2363	1.1539	1.1766
November	1.1396	1.0359	1.0833
December	1.0429	0.9646	1.0024