2011 JMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

33.6722 UGX

YEARLY LOW

26.4051 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

29.3826 UGX

2011 JMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the JMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 33.6722. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 26.4051.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.2671 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 26.8161 to the December average rate of 28.4245, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.00% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 33.6722 was up 25.36% compared to the 2010 peak of 26.8602, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 JMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 168,361 UGX

2010 Average 124,350 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 132,026 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,335.27 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

33.5212

26.2066

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

JMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.6704, compared to 31.0947 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.4243 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.6704

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.0947

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 3.4985 UGX (High: 33.5371 / Low: 30.0386). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3076 UGX (High: 28.2334 / Low: 27.9258).

October Spread (Volatile) ±3.4985

May Spread (Stable) ±0.3076

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.6442 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.6442

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 32.9116) against the same month in 2010 (average: 25.9310), the exchange rate shifted by +6.9807 (+26.92%).

2011 Avg (September) 32.9116

2010 Avg (September) 25.9310

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	27.6028	26.4051	26.8161
February	27.5387	26.5042	27.0182
March	27.8406	27.1818	27.5607
April	27.9696	27.3222	27.7556
May	28.2334	27.9258	28.0868
June	31.3719	28.0168	28.7850
July	30.7437	29.7475	30.3487
August	33.0069	30.5598	32.2419
September	33.6722	32.4438	32.9116
October	33.5371	30.0386	32.6429
November	30.6631	29.0522	29.9987
December	29.6894	27.3687	28.4245