2016 JMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

28.9228 UGX

YEARLY LOW

26.4673 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

27.3291 UGX

2016 JMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the JMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 19, valuing the pair at 28.9228. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 20, dropping to 26.4673.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4556 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.6018 to the December average rate of 27.9343, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 28.9228 was down 7.37% compared to the 2015 peak of 31.2249, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 JMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 144,614 UGX

2015 Average 138,528 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 132,336 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,277.87 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

28.8078

26.3353

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

JMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.6404, compared to 27.0178 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6226 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.6404

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.0178

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.3346 UGX (High: 28.1690 / Low: 26.8344). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1359 UGX (High: 26.6032 / Low: 26.4673).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.3346

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1359

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6163 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6163

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 28.6018) against the same month in 2015 (average: 24.8048), the exchange rate shifted by +3.7970 (+15.31%).

2016 Avg (January) 28.6018

2015 Avg (January) 24.8048

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	28.9228	28.1311	28.6018
February	28.7280	27.6843	28.2797
March	27.7764	27.5215	27.6634
April	27.6833	27.0068	27.4012
May	27.1937	26.9359	27.0390
June	27.1272	26.6771	26.8573
July	26.9242	26.5548	26.7185
August	26.7558	26.5217	26.6018
September	26.6032	26.4673	26.5413
October	27.0145	26.5343	26.7440
November	28.1690	26.8344	27.5669
December	28.1966	27.6460	27.9343