2016 JOD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

5124.8542 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4669.4728 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4823.4546 UGX

2016 JOD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the JOD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 5124.8542. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 4669.4728.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 455.3814 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4858.2116 to the December average rate of 5083.4009, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5124.8542 was down 1.68% compared to the 2015 peak of 5212.1604, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 JOD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,624,271 UGX

2015 Average 22,846,873 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 23,347,364 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,276,906.94 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5120.0895

4679.8256

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

JOD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4771.2042, compared to 4875.7050 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 104.5008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4771.2042

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4875.7050

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 227.3156 UGX (High: 5118.9296 / Low: 4891.6140). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 23.7678 UGX (High: 4781.4722 / Low: 4757.7044).

November Spread (Volatile) ±227.3156

September Spread (Stable) ±23.7678

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 93.7362 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -93.7362

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 5083.4009) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4739.1312), the exchange rate shifted by +344.2697 (+7.26%).

2016 Avg (December) 5083.4009

2015 Avg (December) 4739.1312

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4908.2703	4764.3623	4858.2116
February	4909.5764	4727.0327	4837.8660
March	4765.6986	4712.6225	4744.1298
April	4756.2462	4669.4728	4716.5142
May	4778.0275	4682.0841	4719.5029
June	4815.9571	4722.8120	4751.0011
July	4796.6067	4742.3694	4770.5075
August	4773.2539	4743.5829	4759.7404
September	4781.4722	4757.7044	4771.9243
October	4888.5834	4767.6702	4842.8210
November	5118.9296	4891.6140	5025.8360
December	5124.8542	5014.5378	5083.4009