2012 KES to GNF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

85.8481 GNF

YEARLY LOW

79.4451 GNF

YEARLY AVERAGE

83.4185 GNF

2012 KES to GNF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to GNF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 14, valuing the pair at 85.8481. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 79.4451.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.4030 GNF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 80.7978 to the December average rate of 82.1455, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 85.8481 was down 9.63% compared to the 2011 peak of 94.9948, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 429,241 GNF

2011 Average 392,125 GNF

Yearly Trough Low 397,226 GNF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 32,015.06 GNF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

85.4925

80.3710

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to GNF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 83.2070, compared to 83.6300 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4231 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 83.2070

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 83.6300

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 4.1341 GNF (High: 85.5213 / Low: 81.3871). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3548 GNF (High: 85.8481 / Low: 84.4933).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.1341

August Spread (Stable) ±1.3548

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.5342 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5342

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 85.0657) against the same month in 2011 (average: 72.3378), the exchange rate shifted by +12.7279 (+17.60%).

2012 Avg (August) 85.0657

2011 Avg (August) 72.3378

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	82.8857	79.4451	80.7978
February	84.0898	82.3937	83.1962
March	85.7685	82.7359	85.0231
April	85.5328	83.2831	84.3130
May	84.3891	80.9561	82.7789
June	85.5213	81.3871	83.1329
July	85.6099	83.8994	84.6754
August	85.8481	84.4933	85.0657
September	85.3891	81.7644	83.6952
October	84.0674	82.0438	83.2941
November	83.6627	82.1141	82.9045
December	83.4359	80.2613	82.1455