2013 KES to GNF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

85.0035 GNF

YEARLY LOW

78.1112 GNF

YEARLY AVERAGE

81.5481 GNF

2013 KES to GNF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to GNF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 6, valuing the pair at 85.0035. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 18, dropping to 78.1112.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.8923 GNF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 81.7386 to the December average rate of 80.7558, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 85.0035 was down 0.98% compared to the 2012 peak of 85.8481, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 425,017 GNF

2012 Average 417,094 GNF

Yearly Trough Low 390,556 GNF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,461.33 GNF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

84.5472

78.9913

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to GNF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 82.6224, compared to 80.4739 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1485 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 82.6224

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 80.4739

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was June, with a trading range of 3.2721 GNF (High: 82.7915 / Low: 79.5193). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9985 GNF (High: 84.4995 / Low: 83.5010).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.2721

April Spread (Stable) ±0.9985

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.2737 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2737

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 84.0842) against the same month in 2012 (average: 82.7789), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3054 (+1.58%).

2013 Avg (May) 84.0842

2012 Avg (May) 82.7789

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	82.7339	80.1069	81.7386
February	81.7990	80.0059	81.0644
March	83.6314	81.7574	82.9760
April	84.4995	83.5010	84.0605
May	85.0035	82.8508	84.0842
June	82.7915	79.5193	81.8106
July	81.5556	79.3585	80.0462
August	80.3396	79.0028	79.6827
September	81.1910	78.1112	79.4543
October	82.9092	79.9499	81.7790
November	82.3603	79.5600	81.1253
December	81.4870	79.5614	80.7558