YEARLY HIGH
13.5590 MMK
YEARLY LOW
11.4945 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.1698 MMK

2016 KES to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 13.5590. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 25, dropping to 11.4945.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0645 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.6962 to the December average rate of 13.2103, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.5590 was up 5.55% compared to the 2015 peak of 12.8464, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 67,795 MMK
2015 Average 56,469 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 57,473 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,322.40 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

13.3679
11.4767
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.9952, compared to 12.3444 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3492 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.9952
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.3444

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.6540 MMK (High: 12.6741 / Low: 12.0201). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1804 MMK (High: 12.8005 / Low: 12.6201).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.6540
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1804

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.4710 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4710

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 13.2103) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.7023), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5080 (+4.00%).

2016 Avg (December) 13.2103
2015 Avg (December) 12.7023

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.8005 12.6201 12.6962
February 12.6741 12.0201 12.2252
March 12.2161 11.8892 11.9890
April 11.9843 11.4945 11.6823
May 11.7860 11.5381 11.6410
June 11.8343 11.6046 11.7378
July 11.7305 11.5466 11.6343
August 11.9390 11.6532 11.7657
September 12.4260 11.8607 12.1387
October 12.7107 12.3445 12.5661
November 12.9401 12.5343 12.7513
December 13.5590 12.9065 13.2103