YEARLY HIGH
16.1119 MMK
YEARLY LOW
12.9623 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.2370 MMK

2018 KES to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 22, valuing the pair at 16.1119. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 12.9623.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1496 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.0761 to the December average rate of 15.3278, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 16.1119 was up 20.47% compared to the 2017 peak of 13.3745, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80,559 MMK
2017 Average 65,825 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 64,811 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,748.01 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

15.8739
12.8217
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.2822, compared to 15.1918 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.9097 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.2822
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.1918

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 1.0314 MMK (High: 16.1119 / Low: 15.0805). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1112 MMK (High: 13.2892 / Low: 13.1780).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.0314
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1112

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 10 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2918 points.

Longest Streak 10 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2918

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 15.5509) against the same month in 2017 (average: 13.1959), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3550 (+17.85%).

2018 Avg (September) 15.5509
2017 Avg (September) 13.1959

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.1748 12.9623 13.0761
February 13.2247 13.0599 13.1445
March 13.2892 13.1780 13.2181
April 13.4503 13.1105 13.2486
May 13.4870 13.3133 13.4181
June 14.0321 13.3874 13.5877
July 14.4901 13.9169 14.2006
August 15.3708 14.4962 14.8898
September 16.1119 15.0805 15.5509
October 15.8462 15.0837 15.5624
November 15.8108 15.4510 15.6196
December 15.5536 15.0502 15.3278