YEARLY HIGH
3.4333 NGN
YEARLY LOW
1.9391 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.5357 NGN

2016 KES to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 22, valuing the pair at 3.4333. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 1.9391.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4943 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9451 to the December average rate of 3.0815, the exchange rate registered a net change of 58.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.4333 was up 53.83% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.2319, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,167 NGN
2015 Average 10,093 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 9,695 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,471.38 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.3032
1.8216
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0025, compared to 3.0688 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0664 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0025
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0688

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.8361 NGN (High: 2.7985 / Low: 1.9624). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0105 NGN (High: 1.9699 / Low: 1.9594).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.8361
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0105

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0883 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0883

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 3.1797) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.9413), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2384 (+63.79%).

2016 Avg (August) 3.1797
2015 Avg (August) 1.9413

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.9533 1.9405 1.9451
February 1.9572 1.9391 1.9514
March 1.9678 1.9561 1.9611
April 1.9699 1.9594 1.9659
May 1.9823 1.9680 1.9759
June 2.7985 1.9624 2.2154
July 3.1564 2.7860 2.8880
August 3.4333 3.0797 3.1797
September 3.1147 3.0695 3.0914
October 3.1129 3.0494 3.0888
November 3.1003 3.0613 3.0836
December 3.1030 2.9851 3.0815