YEARLY HIGH
3.6105 NGN
YEARLY LOW
3.4665 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5672 NGN

2018 KES to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 30, valuing the pair at 3.6105. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 3.4665.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1440 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5009 to the December average rate of 3.5620, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.6105 was up 1.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.5507, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,053 NGN
2017 Average 16,138 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 17,333 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 719.97 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.6036
3.4915
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5563, compared to 3.5780 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0217 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5563
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5780

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0636 NGN (High: 3.5842 / Low: 3.5207). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0191 NGN (High: 3.5972 / Low: 3.5781).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0636
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0191

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0416 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0416

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 3.5904) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.4776), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1128 (+3.24%).

2018 Avg (September) 3.5904
2017 Avg (September) 3.4776

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5242 3.4665 3.5009
February 3.5827 3.5327 3.5548
March 3.5732 3.5518 3.5603
April 3.6043 3.5522 3.5768
May 3.5940 3.5436 3.5787
June 3.5834 3.5554 3.5663
July 3.6012 3.5623 3.5829
August 3.5972 3.5781 3.5859
September 3.6105 3.5678 3.5904
October 3.6083 3.5682 3.5943
November 3.5842 3.5207 3.5526
December 3.5894 3.5414 3.5620