YEARLY HIGH
9.3612 RWF
YEARLY LOW
8.8731 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.1309 RWF

2021 KES to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 11, valuing the pair at 9.3612. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 3, dropping to 8.8731.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4881 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.9885 to the December average rate of 9.0506, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 9.3612 was down 1.06% compared to the 2020 peak of 9.4614, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,806 RWF
2020 Average 44,965 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 44,366 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,440.40 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

9.3072
8.9596
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.1195, compared to 9.1424 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0229 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.1195
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.1424

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 0.3578 RWF (High: 9.2309 / Low: 8.8731). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0969 RWF (High: 9.0742 / Low: 8.9772).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.3578
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0969

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0804 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0804

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 9.2651) against the same month in 2020 (average: 8.8106), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4545 (+5.16%).

2021 Avg (May) 9.2651
2020 Avg (May) 8.8106

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.0752 8.8970 8.9885
February 9.0742 8.9772 9.0248
March 9.0645 8.9071 8.9990
April 9.3413 8.9991 9.1895
May 9.3612 9.1959 9.2651
June 9.3366 9.1234 9.2501
July 9.3235 9.1413 9.2782
August 9.2949 9.1521 9.2199
September 9.1896 9.0127 9.1395
October 9.1854 8.9680 9.0947
November 9.2334 8.9556 9.0714
December 9.2309 8.8731 9.0506