YEARLY HIGH
8.7355 RWF
YEARLY LOW
8.0190 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.2930 RWF

2023 KES to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the KES to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 8.7355. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 8.0190.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7165 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.6705 to the December average rate of 8.1188, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 8.7355 was down 4.58% compared to the 2022 peak of 9.1549, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,677 RWF
2022 Average 43,936 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 40,095 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,582.58 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

8.7256
8.0636
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.3993, compared to 8.1868 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2126 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.3993
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1868

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 0.2770 RWF (High: 8.4130 / Low: 8.1360). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0711 RWF (High: 8.7115 / Low: 8.6404).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.2770
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0711

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2041 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2023: 8.6475) against the same month in 2022 (average: 9.0247), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3772 (-4.18%).

2023 Avg (February) 8.6475
2022 Avg (February) 9.0247

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.7115 8.6404 8.6705
February 8.7355 8.5742 8.6475
March 8.5659 8.3541 8.4434
April 8.4103 8.1636 8.2585
May 8.2788 8.1297 8.1768
June 8.4130 8.1360 8.1992
July 8.3845 8.1908 8.2613
August 8.3163 8.1780 8.2287
September 8.2826 8.1548 8.1990
October 8.3258 8.1280 8.1878
November 8.2301 8.0555 8.1250
December 8.1939 8.0190 8.1188