2012 KES to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1782 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.1518 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1626 SCR

2012 KES to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 23, valuing the pair at 0.1782. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 0.1518.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0264 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1613 to the December average rate of 0.1523, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1782 was up 7.65% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1656, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 891 SCR

2011 Average 705 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 759 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 132.22 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.1748

0.1502

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1678, compared to 0.1573 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0105 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1678

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1573

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0142 SCR (High: 0.1683 / Low: 0.1541). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 SCR (High: 0.1532 / Low: 0.1518).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0142

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0150 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0150

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 0.1727) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1360), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0367 (+27.00%).

2012 Avg (July) 0.1727

2011 Avg (July) 0.1360

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1683	0.1541	0.1613
February	0.1728	0.1658	0.1687
March	0.1740	0.1642	0.1701
April	0.1727	0.1658	0.1687
May	0.1728	0.1649	0.1678
June	0.1749	0.1662	0.1705
July	0.1782	0.1667	0.1727
August	0.1672	0.1546	0.1578
September	0.1553	0.1527	0.1537
October	0.1551	0.1530	0.1539
November	0.1546	0.1528	0.1534
December	0.1532	0.1518	0.1523