2016 KES to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1408 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.1248 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1307 SCR

2016 KES to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 0.1408. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 28, dropping to 0.1248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0160 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1278 to the December average rate of 0.1310, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1408 was down 9.55% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1556, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 704 SCR

2015 Average 680 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 624 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 79.99 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1332

0.1273

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1308, compared to 0.1307 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1308

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1307

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0146 SCR (High: 0.1408 / Low: 0.1261). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0026 SCR (High: 0.1320 / Low: 0.1294).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0146

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0028 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0028

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.1314) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1533), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0219 (-14.28%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.1314

2015 Avg (February) 0.1533

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1332	0.1252	0.1278
February	0.1408	0.1261	0.1314
March	0.1338	0.1275	0.1310
April	0.1393	0.1262	0.1328
May	0.1375	0.1294	0.1323
June	0.1323	0.1248	0.1294
July	0.1330	0.1259	0.1299
August	0.1328	0.1289	0.1305
September	0.1320	0.1294	0.1309
October	0.1321	0.1288	0.1307
November	0.1327	0.1293	0.1311
December	0.1324	0.1286	0.1310