YEARLY HIGH
0.0872 SVC
YEARLY LOW
0.0784 SVC
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0822 SVC

2020 KES to SVC Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KES to SVC exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 0.0872. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.0784.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0088 SVC. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0866 to the December average rate of 0.0792, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.0872 was down 0.75% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.0878, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 436 SVC
2019 Average 429 SVC
Yearly Trough Low 392 SVC
Transaction Impact: A difference of 43.79 SVC purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.0875
0.0784
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SVC Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0840, compared to 0.0805 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0035 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0840
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0805

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0046 SVC (High: 0.0864 / Low: 0.0818). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 SVC (High: 0.0808 / Low: 0.0806).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0046
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0025 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0025

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 0.0866) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.0861), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0004 (+0.50%).

2020 Avg (January) 0.0866
2019 Avg (January) 0.0861

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0872 0.0861 0.0866
February 0.0872 0.0864 0.0868
March 0.0864 0.0818 0.0843
April 0.0832 0.0815 0.0822
May 0.0829 0.0810 0.0820
June 0.0825 0.0819 0.0822
July 0.0823 0.0810 0.0815
August 0.0813 0.0805 0.0809
September 0.0808 0.0806 0.0807
October 0.0807 0.0804 0.0805
November 0.0805 0.0795 0.0800
December 0.0805 0.0784 0.0792