YEARLY HIGH
0.0822 SVC
YEARLY LOW
0.0773 SVC
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0798 SVC

2021 KES to SVC Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to SVC exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 10, valuing the pair at 0.0822. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 0.0773.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0048 SVC. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0796 to the December average rate of 0.0775, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0822 was down 5.75% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0872, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 411 SVC
2020 Average 411 SVC
Yearly Trough Low 387 SVC
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24.18 SVC purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0818
0.0771
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SVC Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0805, compared to 0.0791 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0013 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0805
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0791

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0018 SVC (High: 0.0819 / Low: 0.0801). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 SVC (High: 0.0812 / Low: 0.0811).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0018
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0008 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0008

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 0.0814) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0820), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0006 (-0.68%).

2021 Avg (May) 0.0814
2020 Avg (May) 0.0820

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0801 0.0793 0.0796
February 0.0800 0.0794 0.0798
March 0.0799 0.0796 0.0798
April 0.0819 0.0801 0.0810
May 0.0822 0.0808 0.0814
June 0.0812 0.0811 0.0812
July 0.0811 0.0805 0.0809
August 0.0806 0.0796 0.0801
September 0.0796 0.0792 0.0794
October 0.0792 0.0786 0.0789
November 0.0786 0.0777 0.0781
December 0.0777 0.0773 0.0775