YEARLY HIGH
0.0784 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.0682 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0771 TJS

2016 KES to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 8, valuing the pair at 0.0784. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 0.0682.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0102 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0721 to the December average rate of 0.0771, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0784 was up 14.93% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0682, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 392 TJS
2015 Average 313 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 341 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 50.91 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0787
0.0715
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0767, compared to 0.0775 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0767
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0775

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0080 TJS (High: 0.0762 / Low: 0.0682). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 TJS (High: 0.0776 / Low: 0.0773).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0080
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.0781) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0652), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0129 (+19.85%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.0781
2015 Avg (May) 0.0652

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0762 0.0682 0.0721
February 0.0775 0.0766 0.0771
March 0.0779 0.0774 0.0776
April 0.0779 0.0775 0.0777
May 0.0784 0.0778 0.0781
June 0.0780 0.0777 0.0778
July 0.0779 0.0775 0.0777
August 0.0777 0.0773 0.0776
September 0.0779 0.0775 0.0778
October 0.0779 0.0775 0.0777
November 0.0776 0.0773 0.0774
December 0.0774 0.0766 0.0771