YEARLY HIGH
0.0938 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.0850 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0903 TJS

2018 KES to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 16, valuing the pair at 0.0938. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.0850.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0088 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0857 to the December average rate of 0.0922, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0938 was up 8.87% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0862, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 469 TJS
2017 Average 416 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 425 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 43.93 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0943
0.0850
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0878, compared to 0.0928 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0050 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0878
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0928

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0031 TJS (High: 0.0938 / Low: 0.0907). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 TJS (High: 0.0938 / Low: 0.0931).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0031
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.0924) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0846), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0078 (+9.17%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.0924
2017 Avg (July) 0.0846

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0864 0.0850 0.0857
February 0.0876 0.0866 0.0870
March 0.0876 0.0868 0.0872
April 0.0889 0.0870 0.0880
May 0.0897 0.0885 0.0892
June 0.0909 0.0887 0.0899
July 0.0938 0.0907 0.0924
August 0.0938 0.0931 0.0935
September 0.0937 0.0930 0.0935
October 0.0934 0.0925 0.0932
November 0.0930 0.0910 0.0921
December 0.0930 0.0918 0.0922