2016 LKR to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.5027 BIF

YEARLY LOW

10.4583 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.0608 BIF

2016 LKR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LKR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 25, valuing the pair at 11.5027. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 30, dropping to 10.4583.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0444 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.8416 to the December average rate of 11.2330, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.61% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 11.5027 was down 6.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 12.2417, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 57,514 BIF

2015 Average 57,650 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 52,292 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,221.99 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

11.4951

10.5674

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.7805, compared to 11.3411 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5606 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.7805

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.3411

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.0344 BIF (High: 11.5027 / Low: 10.4683). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0963 BIF (High: 11.3342 / Low: 11.2379).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.0344

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0963

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0930 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0930

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 10.9770) against the same month in 2015 (average: 11.6876), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7105 (-6.08%).

2016 Avg (June) 10.9770

2015 Avg (June) 11.6876

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.9110	10.7388	10.8416
February	10.8788	10.7496	10.8229
March	10.8580	10.4583	10.7299
April	10.7602	10.5469	10.6668
May	10.7350	10.5546	10.6447
June	11.5027	10.4683	10.9770
July	11.4580	11.2716	11.3646
August	11.4730	11.3197	11.4169
September	11.4904	11.3478	11.4178
October	11.4055	11.2704	11.3357
November	11.3342	11.2379	11.2784
December	11.3165	11.1557	11.2330