YEARLY HIGH
10.5086 CDF
YEARLY LOW
8.9071 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.9907 CDF

2018 LKR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LKR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 10.5086. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 8.9071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6015 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.4134 to the December average rate of 9.0137, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.5086 was down 2.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.7654, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,543 CDF
2017 Average 47,797 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 44,536 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,007.42 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.5533
8.8737
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.3208, compared to 9.6607 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6601 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.3208
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.6607

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.5855 CDF (High: 10.3948 / Low: 9.8093). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0653 CDF (High: 10.2605 / Low: 10.1952).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.5855
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0653

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4022 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4022

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 10.4134) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.0956), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3177 (+28.63%).

2018 Avg (January) 10.4134
2017 Avg (January) 8.0956

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.5086 10.2056 10.4134
February 10.4707 10.3222 10.4019
March 10.4701 10.3053 10.3884
April 10.4039 10.2247 10.3368
May 10.2605 10.1952 10.2267
June 10.2094 10.0885 10.1575
July 10.3948 9.8093 10.1748
August 10.2204 10.0666 10.1471
September 10.1639 9.6082 9.9089
October 9.6646 9.2967 9.5067
November 9.3633 8.9399 9.2128
December 9.1152 8.9071 9.0137